Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.309031 0.415421 0.533004 0.670354 0.824391 0.990087 1.180178
2025-04-27 0.180294 0.320588 0.495223 0.717265 0.982967 1.283427 1.642367
2025-05-04 0.131261 0.288869 0.501716 0.786227 1.138617 1.547012 2.044125
2025-05-11 0.089270 0.252138 0.491968 0.828032 1.257051 1.764555 2.391716
2025-05-18 0.053118 0.209054 0.463309 0.837469 1.329306 1.922281 2.665081
2025-05-25 0.019658 0.148800 0.396890 0.787121 1.319265 1.975571 2.810734
2025-06-01 0.003086 0.099639 0.334477 0.732909 1.297208 2.008806 2.927895
2025-06-08 NaN 0.070786 0.297949 0.710315 1.312614 2.085315 3.094551
2025-06-15 NaN 0.057924 0.288472 0.726795 1.379668 2.226153 3.339227
2025-06-22 NaN 0.041490 0.265257 0.718304 1.410115 2.318851 3.523573
2025-06-29 NaN 0.026334 0.237264 0.698159 1.421747 2.385640 3.674529
2025-07-06 NaN 0.023321 0.242072 0.733813 1.513348 2.556744 3.955984
2025-07-13 NaN 0.020164 0.246851 0.772459 1.614248 2.746587 4.269653
2025-07-20 NaN 0.018294 0.255709 0.819199 1.728426 2.955880 4.610433
2025-07-27 NaN 0.020398 0.279974 0.894134 1.884139 3.220009 5.020193
2025-08-03 NaN 0.018432 0.287659 0.938533 1.994824 3.424731 5.355330
2025-08-10 NaN 0.012917 0.277403 0.948696 2.054187 3.561036 5.603815
2025-08-17 NaN 0.004046 0.235620 0.894854 2.015314 3.564738 5.682934
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000197 0.195087 0.836790 1.966251 3.552183 5.739274
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.172880 0.812547 1.967065 3.605418 5.878223
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.170096 0.830231 2.033783 3.748835 6.133531
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.156231 0.821122 2.056993 3.831917 6.310486
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.138203 0.799494 2.058748 3.884544 6.447369